69 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 69 pip movement on USDCHF within 48 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 22:30 GMT+10. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is < 1400K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Apr 23:30
11 Jan 00:30
04 Oct 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).