7 pip movement on EURUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect a 7 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 14 Apr 02:00 UTC. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Apr 02:00 UTC if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Feb 01:00
23 Sep 02:00
12 Aug 02:00
13 May 02:00
25 Sep 02:00
26 Jun 02:00