70% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Oct 19:00
30 Jul 18:00
30 Apr 18:00
31 Jul 18:00
30 Apr 20:00
31 Jul 20:00
30 Apr 20:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).