70% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, USDCHF may trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < €1.2B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Mar 18:00
09 Feb 18:00
07 Jan 18:00
09 Nov 18:00
08 Oct 17:00
09 Sep 16:00
08 Jul 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).