Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 100K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 16:00	21 Apr 16:00
17 Mar 20:30	15 Oct 19:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).