71.43% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < $-63.8B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Sep 12:30
05 Aug 12:30
02 Jul 12:30
05 May 12:30
05 Feb 13:30