71.43% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -15

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 00:01
20 May 23:01
19 Mar 00:01
19 Feb 00:01
22 Jan 00:01