71.43% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < $-63.8B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Sep 12:30
05 Aug 12:30
02 Jul 12:30
05 May 12:30
05 Feb 13:30