71.43% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 177K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jan 13:15
02 Dec 13:15
04 Nov 13:15
02 Sep 12:15
06 May 12:15