71.43% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 109

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 10:30
14 Apr 10:30
10 Feb 10:30
09 Dec 12:30
14 Oct 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).