71.43% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > €23.2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Nov 18:00
07 Aug 16:00
08 May 16:00
07 Feb 18:00
09 Dec 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).