71.43% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > -17.7

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Sep 14:00
20 May 14:00
23 Mar 15:00
20 Feb 15:00
21 Nov 15:00