71.43% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-10-19 23:30 if the released value is < 1.475M. A price movement of 237 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jun 22:30
18 May 22:30
18 Feb 00:30
18 Nov 00:30
19 Oct 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).