72.73% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Australia, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 4.5% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 11:30
14 Oct 11:30
16 Sep 11:30
19 Aug 11:30
15 Jul 11:30
15 Apr 11:30
18 Mar 11:30
18 Feb 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).