72.73% probability that NZDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > €15.9B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 May 16:00
09 Apr 16:00
09 Mar 18:00
10 Oct 17:00
09 Sep 16:00
09 Aug 16:00
08 Jul 16:00
07 Jun 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).