72.73% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jul 14:30
02 Jun 14:30
01 Oct 14:30
02 Jul 14:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).