75% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < -180K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jun 16:00
20 Apr 16:00
23 Feb 18:00
10 Nov 18:00
13 Oct 17:00
15 Sep 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).