75% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 PPI Input YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a 20 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2023-01-25 18:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-01-25 18:00 if the released value is < 18.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 16:00
18 May 16:00
19 Jan 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).