75% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 8000K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Apr 23:30
19 Mar 23:30
12 Mar 23:30
14 Feb 00:30
24 Jan 00:30
17 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).