75% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 102.1 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Apr 18:00
25 Jan 20:00
26 Oct 20:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).