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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 250K. A price movement of 33 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
02 Sep 22:30![]() |
05 Aug 22:30![]() |
06 May 22:30![]() |
05 Mar 00:30![]() |
05 Feb 00:30![]() |
05 Nov 23:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).