75% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, GBPUSD may trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 7.6%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Apr 22:00
01 Feb 00:00
30 Nov 00:00
28 Oct 23:00
29 Jul 22:00
31 May 22:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).