Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < -62K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 May 16:00	23 Feb 18:00
26 Jan 18:00	10 Nov 18:00
15 Sep 16:00	16 Jul 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).