75% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Apr 13:00
19 Mar 14:00
21 Jan 14:00
18 Dec 14:45
29 Oct 14:00
17 Sep 13:00
15 Jul 13:00
27 Apr 14:00
16 Mar 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).