75% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 4.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Oct 17:00
14 Sep 16:00
15 Jun 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).