75% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $180 movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2023-03-10 00:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2023-03-10 00:30 if the released value is > 1659K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Feb 00:30
10 Feb 00:30
27 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).