75% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-03-21 23:30 if the released value is < 5.4%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Feb 00:30
20 Sep 22:30
20 Jul 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).