75% probability that USDCAD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 6.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 19:55
28 Feb 19:55
30 Jan 19:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).