75% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2022-10-27 01:00 if the released value is > 0.585M. A price movement of 29 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Sep 00:00
27 Jan 02:00
27 Oct 01:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).