75% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 3000K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Mar 00:15
06 Feb 00:15
09 Jan 00:15
30 Oct 23:15
05 Sep 22:15
31 Jul 22:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).