75% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 04:00
18 Mar 05:00
28 Jan 06:00
17 Dec 06:00
17 Sep 04:00
30 Jul 04:00
11 Jun 04:00
30 Apr 04:00
30 Jan 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).