75% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < A$11B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 May 11:30
01 Apr 11:30
07 Jan 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).