75% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 9.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Mar 18:00
16 Feb 18:00
19 Jan 18:00
15 Dec 18:00
17 Nov 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).