75% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < €14.4B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Sep 16:00
08 Jul 16:00
09 Apr 16:00
09 Feb 18:00
09 Dec 18:00
08 Oct 17:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).