75% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Aug 09:30
19 Jul 09:30
21 Jun 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).