80% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 1.169M

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 23:30
20 Feb 00:30
18 Jan 00:30
18 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).