80% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = 7.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Nov 10:00
30 Sep 09:00
01 Feb 10:00
02 Dec 10:00