80% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < £-3.7B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 20:30
10 May 18:30
10 Apr 18:30
12 Mar 20:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).