80% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 49K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 22:15
03 Jun 22:15
01 Apr 23:15
05 Mar 00:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).