80% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < £-2.2B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Apr 16:00
12 Feb 18:00
10 Dec 18:00
11 Sep 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).