80% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < -350K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Dec 00:30
09 Nov 00:30
05 Jul 22:30
05 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).