80% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 2.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Dec 10:30
01 Oct 09:30
30 Aug 09:30
30 Jul 09:30