80% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = 6%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Mar 18:55
02 Mar 19:55
05 Jan 19:55
01 Sep 17:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).