80% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards right now

We expect a $110 movement on GBPUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the NAB Business Confidence events in Australia release because the released value is < 8. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jul 01:30
14 Jun 01:30
10 May 01:30
14 Dec 00:30