80% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < A$9.7B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Oct 11:30
03 Sep 11:30
04 Aug 11:30
02 Jul 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).