80% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 12:00
26 May 12:00
14 Apr 12:00
11 Nov 12:00
23 Sep 12:00
24 Jun 12:00
13 May 12:00
12 Feb 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).