81.82% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards right now

We expect a $2020 movement on AUDUSD within the next 48 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area release because the released value is = 1.5%. A price movement of 202 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 21:45
14 Apr 21:45
10 Mar 23:45
03 Feb 23:45
16 Dec 23:45
28 Oct 22:45
09 Sep 21:45
22 Jul 21:45
10 Jun 21:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).