82 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect a 82 pip movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2023-04-28 18:00. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2023-04-28 18:00 if the released value is > 0.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jul 18:00
31 Jan 21:00
29 Oct 19:00
30 Jul 18:00
30 Apr 18:00
02 Feb 20:00
30 Oct 20:00
31 Jul 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).