83.33% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -40

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Mar 23:01
28 Feb 00:01
20 Dec 00:01
26 Sep 23:01
30 Jul 23:01