83.33% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 97 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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25 Jul 18:00
23 May 18:00
24 Apr 18:00
22 Feb 20:00